On Balance Volume

On Balance Volume (OBV) is a cumulative volume indicator that adds volume on up days and subtracts volume on down days, creating a running total that appears as a line in a lower indicator panel. Developed by Joe Granville in 1963, OBV operates on the principle that volume precedes price – smart money quietly accumulates before rallies and distributes before declines. For option traders, OBV reveals whether big players are buying or selling behind the scenes, helping avoid selling puts during distribution or calls during accumulation. Unlike price which can be manipulated short-term, volume represents real money commitment, making OBV a powerful tool for confirming trends and spotting divergences.

How OBV Works

OBV uses simple cumulative math:

The Calculation

  • Up day (close > previous close): Add entire day’s volume to OBV
  • Down day (close < previous close): Subtract entire day’s volume from OBV
  • Unchanged (close = previous close): OBV stays same

Starting value is arbitrary – only direction matters.

Reading OBV

Rising OBV: More volume on up days

  • Accumulation occurring
  • Buyers in control
  • Bullish for price

Falling OBV: More volume on down days

  • Distribution occurring
  • Sellers in control
  • Bearish for price

Flat OBV: Balanced volume

  • No clear direction
  • Consolidation phase
  • Wait for breakout

OBV Trend Confirmation

This lower indicator validates price trends:

Healthy Uptrend

  • Price making higher highs
  • OBV making higher highs
  • Volume confirms rally
  • Safe to sell puts on pullbacks

Healthy Downtrend

  • Price making lower lows
  • OBV making lower lows
  • Volume confirms decline
  • Safe to sell calls on rallies

Trend Weakness

  • Price new highs, OBV lagging
  • Or price new lows, OBV not confirming
  • Trend may be ending
  • Reduce position size

OBV Divergences

The most powerful OBV signals:

Bullish Divergence

Price lower low, OBV higher low:

  • Sellers losing strength
  • Accumulation occurring
  • Reversal likely upward
  • Prime put selling setup

Example:

  • Stock falls from $50 to $45
  • OBV higher than last $45 visit
  • Smart money buying dip
  • Sell $43 puts confidently

Bearish Divergence

Price higher high, OBV lower high:

  • Buyers losing strength
  • Distribution occurring
  • Reversal likely downward
  • Prime call selling setup

Example:

  • Stock rallies from $50 to $55
  • OBV lower than last $55 visit
  • Smart money selling rally
  • Sell $57 calls confidently

OBV Breakout Confirmation

Critical for option strike selection:

True Breakout

Price breaks resistance + OBV new high:

  • Volume supports move
  • Likely continuation
  • Don’t sell calls
  • Wait for pullback to sell puts

False Breakout

Price breaks resistance + OBV lagging:

  • No volume conviction
  • Likely to fail
  • Perfect call selling setup
  • Place strikes above highs

This lower indicator separates real from fake moves.

OBV Line Breaks

OBV has its own support/resistance:

OBV Support/Resistance

  • Draw trend lines on OBV itself
  • Breaks often precede price moves
  • Early warning system
  • Position accordingly

Example:

  • OBV breaks above downtrend line
  • Price still consolidating
  • Accumulation starting
  • Begin selling puts

Advanced OBV Analysis

Sophisticated uses of this lower indicator:

OBV Rate of Change

Apply momentum to OBV:

  • Rising OBV accelerating = very bullish
  • Rising OBV decelerating = caution
  • Helps time entries
  • Avoid selling against acceleration

OBV Moving Average

Add 20 or 50 MA to OBV:

  • OBV above MA = bullish
  • OBV below MA = bearish
  • Crossovers signal changes
  • Smooths out noise

Multi-Timeframe OBV

  • Daily OBV: Short-term accumulation
  • Weekly OBV: Institutional activity
  • Alignment = strong signal
  • Conflict = wait

OBV for Weekly Options

Applying to short-term trades:

5-Day OBV Analysis

For weekly options:

  1. Check 5-day OBV trend
  2. Compare to price action
  3. Look for divergences
  4. Confirm with daily OBV

Intraday OBV

For day trading:

  • 15-minute OBV
  • Shows intraday accumulation
  • Spot distribution into strength
  • Time premium sales perfectly

Combining OBV with Price

This lower indicator needs context:

OBV + Support/Resistance

High probability setup:

  • Price at support
  • OBV turning up
  • Accumulation starting
  • Sell puts below support

OBV + Moving Averages

Trend confirmation:

  • Price above 50 MA
  • OBV above its MA
  • Both trending up
  • Only sell puts

OBV + Other Volume Indicators

Multiple confirmation:

  • OBV showing accumulation
  • Money Flow positive
  • Accumulation/Distribution line up
  • Strong bullish signal

Common OBV Mistakes

Absolute Values: OBV level meaningless, only direction Ignoring Divergences: Most powerful signals No Price Context: OBV alone insufficient Wrong Timeframe: Match to option duration

Building an OBV System

Systematic approach using OBV:

OBV Divergence Scanner

Weekly routine:

  1. Scan for 52-week price highs
  2. Check if OBV at new highs
  3. Flag divergences
  4. Sell calls on bearish divergences
  5. Track success rate

Rules for OBV Trading

  • Never sell puts during distribution (falling OBV)
  • Never sell calls during accumulation (rising OBV)
  • Always confirm breakouts with OBV
  • Size up when OBV aligns with price
  • Exit if OBV diverges against position

OBV Limitations

Understanding what OBV can’t do:

Single Large Trades: Can skew readings Low Volume Stocks: Less reliable News Gaps: May distort accumulation Splits/Dividends: Require adjustment

Use OBV as confirmation, not sole indicator.

Key Takeaways

On Balance Volume (OBV):

  • Lower indicator tracking cumulative volume
  • Adds volume on up days, subtracts on down
  • Shows accumulation vs distribution
  • Divergences signal reversals
  • Confirms or denies breakouts
  • Simple but powerful
  • Volume precedes price

OBV is the option seller’s insider information, revealing what smart money is doing before price reflects it. This lower indicator cuts through the noise by focusing on the only thing that matters – where real money is flowing. Master OBV divergences and breakout confirmation to avoid selling premium against institutional positioning. Remember: price can lie short-term, but volume tells the truth, and OBV keeps the running score.