Trend Lines

Trend lines are diagonal lines drawn on price charts connecting swing highs or swing lows to visually represent the direction and speed of price movement. As upper indicators drawn directly on price, trend lines provide dynamic support in uptrends and resistance in downtrends, adapting to the market’s changing pace unlike static horizontal levels. For option traders, trend lines offer precise entry points when price pulls back to test them and clear warning signals when trends break, making them essential for timing premium sales and managing risk. Understanding how to draw, validate, and trade trend lines transforms chaotic price action into organized, tradeable patterns with defined boundaries.

Drawing Valid Trend Lines

Proper construction is critical:

Uptrend Lines

Connect two or more swing lows:

  • Start from significant low
  • Connect to next higher low
  • Extend into future
  • Acts as rising support

Each touch validates strength.

Downtrend Lines

Connect two or more swing highs:

  • Start from significant high
  • Connect to next lower high
  • Extend into future
  • Acts as falling resistance

The more touches, the more significant.

Technical Rules

Two Points: Minimum to draw Three Points: Confirms validity Four+ Points: Major trend line

Wicks vs Bodies:

  • Bodies more reliable
  • Wicks show extremes
  • Use zone approach
  • Allow minor pierces

Types of Trend Lines

Different applications for different lines:

Primary Trend Lines

  • Connect major swing points
  • Define long-term trend
  • Months/years duration
  • Rarely touched

Breaking these signals major change.

Secondary Trend Lines

  • Connect intermediate swings
  • Define medium-term trend
  • Weeks/months duration
  • Regular touches

Most useful for option traders.

Minor Trend Lines

  • Connect short-term swings
  • Define immediate trend
  • Days/weeks duration
  • Frequent touches

Good for timing entries.

Trend Line Characteristics

Understanding line behavior:

Slope Analysis

Steep Lines (>45 degrees):

  • Unsustainable pace
  • Likely to break
  • Parabolic moves
  • Prepare for correction

Moderate Lines (20-45 degrees):

  • Sustainable trend
  • Healthy movement
  • Reliable touches
  • Trade with confidence

Flat Lines (<20 degrees):

  • Weak trend
  • Consolidation likely
  • Limited opportunity
  • Consider ranges

Acceleration and Deceleration

Accelerating Trend:

  • Lines getting steeper
  • Momentum building
  • Late stage often
  • Exhaustion coming

Decelerating Trend:

  • Lines getting flatter
  • Momentum waning
  • Trend weakening
  • Reversal possible

Trading Trend Lines

Systematic approaches:

Trend Line Bounces

Uptrend Line Test:

  1. Price pulls back to line
  2. Shows support action
  3. Bounces higher
  4. Sell puts below line

Downtrend Line Test:

  1. Price rallies to line
  2. Shows resistance action
  3. Reverses lower
  4. Sell calls above line

The first test often strongest.

Trend Line Breaks

Uptrend Break:

Downtrend Break:

False breaks common – wait for confirmation.

Trend Lines for Options

Strategic applications:

Strike Selection

In Uptrend:

  • Trend line at $48 rising
  • Current price $50
  • Sell $46 puts
  • Below trend line protection

In Downtrend:

  • Trend line at $52 falling
  • Current price $50
  • Sell $54 calls
  • Above trend line protection

Entry Timing

Anticipatory:

  • Price approaching line
  • Prepare option trade
  • Enter on touch
  • Tighter risk control

Confirmation:

  • Wait for bounce proof
  • Enter after reversal
  • Wider stops needed
  • Higher probability

Multiple Trend Line Patterns

Complex formations:

Channels

Parallel trend lines containing price:

  • Upper line resistance
  • Lower line support
  • Sell calls at upper
  • Sell puts at lower

Perfect for option income.

Wedges

Converging trend lines:

  • Rising wedge bearish
  • Falling wedge bullish
  • Breakout imminent
  • Prepare for move

Triangles

Various convergence patterns:

  • Ascending (bullish)
  • Descending (bearish)
  • Symmetrical (either way)
  • Trade the breakout

Advanced Trend Line Concepts

Sophisticated techniques:

Internal Trend Lines

Connect bodies, ignore wicks:

  • Cleaner lines
  • More touches possible
  • Better reliability
  • Professional approach

Trend Line Fans

Multiple lines from same origin:

  • Shows deceleration
  • Each break weakens
  • Third break often final
  • Major reversal signal

Andrew’s Pitchfork

Three parallel trend lines:

  • Median line critical
  • Upper/lower channels
  • Mean reversion tool
  • Advanced technique

Trend Line Validation

Confirming significance:

Touch Quality

Strong Touch:

  • Clear reversal
  • Volume spike
  • Candlestick pattern
  • Immediate response

Weak Touch:

  • Hesitation
  • Low volume
  • No clear reversal
  • May break soon

Time Factor

  • Longer duration = stronger
  • More history = reliable
  • Recent lines = relevant
  • Ancient lines = psychological

Common Trend Line Mistakes

Over-Drawing: Too many lines Forcing Fits: Making lines work Ignoring Breaks: Denial mode No Confluence: Isolated lines

Trend Line Systems

Building systematic approach:

Daily Trend Management

  1. Update trend lines daily
  2. Note approaching tests
  3. Prepare option trades
  4. Execute on touches
  5. Exit on breaks

Multi-Timeframe Analysis

  • Weekly: Major trend
  • Daily: Trading trend
  • Hourly: Entry timing
  • Align all three

Trend Line Alerts

Set alerts for:

  • Price approaching line
  • Line breaks
  • Confluence zones
  • Pattern completion

Combining Trend Lines

Power combinations:

Trend Lines + Moving Averages

  • Trend line and MA confluence
  • Double support/resistance
  • Highest probability
  • Size up positions

Trend Lines + Horizontal S/R

  • Where diagonal meets horizontal
  • Major decision point
  • Often reversal zone
  • Premium opportunity

Trend Lines + Indicators

  • RSI divergence at line
  • Volume at trend test
  • Momentum confirmation
  • Complete setup

Key Takeaways

Trend Lines:

  • Upper indicators showing direction
  • Connect swing points diagonally
  • Dynamic support and resistance
  • Adapt to market pace
  • Guide entries and strikes
  • Break signals trend change
  • Essential technical tool

Trend lines are the option seller’s dynamic guide, showing not just direction but the pace and boundaries of price movement. These upper indicators adapt to market conditions, providing evolving levels for entries and warnings when trends change. Master trend lines to identify high-probability bounces and crucial breakdown points. Remember: the trend is your friend until the trend line ends – respect these diagonal boundaries to stay on the right side of the market.